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vorteks VIP
Joined: 08 Aug 2004 Posts: 571 Location: European Union
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 5:35 pm Post subject: Mikhaïl Khodorkovski |
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A few questions for russians about Mikhaïl Khodorkovski trial :
In your opinion, did he deserve a 9 years jail condemnation?
What do russians think about the Bush administration claiming to "keep a close eye" on the trial?
Doesn t this trial remind the bolchevik times when any political opposition to "mental hospitalisation"?
I have no opinion, since I don t know the man and his offenses, but here medias report this as an evidence of Putins dictatorship. I d like to get another voice soundfrom non western sources...
PS : last question, is there a special treatment for notorious or wealthy prisoners in modern Russia? (private jail...) |
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Camrade VIP
Joined: 06 Dec 2004 Posts: 516 Location: Санкт-Петербург
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 6:53 pm Post subject: |
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2vorteks
1 - no, he deserved 5 years - maximum...
2 - Bush administration "keeps close eye" on everything which can help them to influence on Russia... Khodorkovshy's trial is a great chance to involve into Russia's politics and to make Russia politically weaker.
3 - if there were bolshevik times, Khodorkovsky would have already been dead So this trial is just a half-political process which was intended to stop "oligarch revolution". Gossips about such revolution were in Russia before the prosecution of Yukos. But it's just my opinion (and not only mine ), maybe the reason is different...
4 - there's a special treatment for wealthy prisoners, as far as I know... It's obvious that Khodorkovsky is in a special room with TV, refregerator and so on.
| Quote: | | but here medias report this as an evidence of Putins dictatorship. |
medias are not right in that case. There's no dictatorship. Modern russian political regime is an authoritarian with elements of european type democracy... |
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MrSpice Lounge Wizard
Joined: 14 Jul 2003 Posts: 3436
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 7:39 pm Post subject: |
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comment on #2: I think Comrade is wrong regarding American interest and influence. I believe many polititians and businessman in the US are concerned that this trial (and many other trials, tax payment requests, etc.) are manifestations of Russia slowly sliding towards some form of dictatorship. Maybe it's not like North Korea or Cuba, but this case is a good indicator of how anyone who crosses a certain line can be put in jail without a jury or any real democratic process. And obviously America worries about this kind of development for the following reasons:
1) America gets more and more of Russia's oil and several large American companies invested billions in Russian oil industry. So, when Russia jails the CEO of the most successful oil company in history and introduces a variety of limits of oil exploration, re-nationalizes that company, that has to be of great concern to the US.
2) Russia still has the largest arsenal of nuclear weapons in the world.
3) Russia has great influence on the world affairs. It's one of the largest exporters of weapons in the world)
4) it's worrysome when the largest country on the planet turns a bit toward authocratic regime (virtually all TV stations were nationalized and many newspaper journalists are afraid to critisize people in power, tax agency slapped several large companies with tax backpayment violations, etc.) So, it seems that this is a partial reversal from the last few years of democratic reforms. |
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Camrade VIP
Joined: 06 Dec 2004 Posts: 516 Location: Санкт-Петербург
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 8:25 pm Post subject: |
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2MrSpice
"America worries" that sounds very uncencere. America is one of the most hypocritical countries in the world.
America cares only about their own wealth and safety and Russia for them is just like a crowd of crazy Ivans with nuclear weapons and Bush's government (like governments of previous american presidents) can't stand the situation when some country is dangerous and not under control (cause there's still no any systems of protection from nuclear missiles in the US). So if we happen to lose all our nuclear powers USA will imediately find a reason to start a military operation in Russia.
To tell the truth, USA don't care about russian political situation. If there were pure democracy in Russia (impossible thing, IMHO), nothing would have changed in their attitude cause RF is one of the most significant geopolitical rivals of the US however our influence is almost over by now. |
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e VIP
Joined: 23 Apr 2005 Posts: 654
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 9:20 pm Post subject: |
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| Quote: | | America gets more and more of Russia's oil and several large American companies invested billions in Russian oil industry. So, when Russia jails the CEO of the most successful oil company in history and introduces a variety of limits of oil exploration, re-nationalizes that company, that has to be of great concern to the US. |
Actually the United States only imports less than 5% of Russian Oil. 90% of Russian oil exports go primariliry to Europe, the CIS, Mongolia, Pakistan, India, etc. The United Stes actually imports its oil from a diverse group of sources. Importing Oil from Russia to the US is too long and thereby too costly.
And as for Yukos being the most sucessful oil company in the world: doubt it. Lukoil is actually Russia's largest and most successful oil company. In that case, Russian oil companies are small comapred to the big 5: Saudi Aramco, Shell, Chevron, Total, BP. Yuko's profits, especially of FY03 don't even compare to the big 4 as they only account for 2% of
The US has never expressed 100% concern in the Yukos case. When Yukos tried to sue the Russian government in the US and file for bankruptcy here, the case was shot down immediately and the US did nothing. Bush would've brought it up with Putin at VE day and when Putin visted the ranch: he did not. |
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MrSpice Lounge Wizard
Joined: 14 Jul 2003 Posts: 3436
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 9:37 pm Post subject: |
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| Comrade: And how do you that? Why are so sure that America does not care and that Americans don't care? I have lived in America for the last 11 years, and my experience based on what I read and expriece in the USA was completely different. Don't you think you are under the spell of anti-American reporting that is so popular in Russia and in European countries? I read russian news in Russian, so I know. |
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Camrade VIP
Joined: 06 Dec 2004 Posts: 516 Location: Санкт-Петербург
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Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2005 11:08 pm Post subject: |
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2MrSpice
| Quote: | | Don't you think you are under the spell of anti-American reporting that is so popular in Russia and in European countries? |
no
America cares only when 'taking care' is in it's interests... And I don't say that it's bad, it's just a real political situation.
Example: Why Russia doesn't care about Honduras? Because we don't have any prospectives in Honduras so we don't care... |
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WayToRussia Site Admin
Joined: 23 Oct 2002 Posts: 1448 Location: Moscow - Berlin
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Posted: Thu Jun 02, 2005 1:30 am Post subject: |
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To Vortex:
1) No, he didn't deserve it at all, I think. Not that I'm one of those people who go to the court to support Khodorkovsky, but I think the whole situation should have been dealt with in a different way (not this spectacle with the court etc.) both on the side of P and on the side of Kh.
2) I think they don't really care... Perhaps some lobby in the US connected to Yukos in some way and it's in their business interests to "support" Khodorkovsky
3) No, I don't think it's the evidence of Putin's dictatorship. To me, this is the evidence that those people can't negotiate. The state doesn't want to negotiate with business. The government doesn't want to negotiate with people who elected it. The business doesn't want to negotiate with the state...
4) I think there's only one jail that offers special services to wealthy citizens officially, but in most jails it's possible to get better conditions by bribing the guards. |
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Vic Talk Show Host
Joined: 29 Mar 2005 Posts: 298 Location: Moscow, Russian Federation
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Posted: Thu Jun 02, 2005 2:27 am Post subject: |
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He completely deserved it. He will get 10 years because that is the maximum he can get for these types of charges. I wish it would be more.
This has nothing to do with any dictatorship - it is justice. Most Russian citizens support this decision. When you break the law, steal, and are told that "we will forget the past (the 90's privatizations) if you play fair from now on" and the idiot continues meddling in politics AND evading taxes - this is what he gets. He felt that he was immune from justice and he got what he deserved. I hope that Berezovsky and Nevzlin suffer the same fate.
The United States does not care, Bush does not like to piss off Putin and we can clearly see that he blows any issues against Russia down. As E said, the lawsuit in Texas was shot down. The U.S. does not want to get involved in any of this.
MrSpice has little clue of what he is talking about; that is exactly it, you have lived in the US for 11 years. You seem to have been brainwashed by the idea of "exporting freedom" (Terrorism) to other nations.
Vic |
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Camrade VIP
Joined: 06 Dec 2004 Posts: 516 Location: Санкт-Петербург
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Posted: Fri Jun 03, 2005 8:24 am Post subject: |
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2Vic
| Quote: | He will get 10 years because that is the maximum he can get for these types of charges. I wish it would be more.
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поправочка:
He got 9 years which means that the trial is a bit not so strict. The prosecution insisted on 10 years. |
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Mogsfan WayToRussified
Joined: 03 Nov 2004 Posts: 490
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Posted: Fri Jun 03, 2005 9:55 am Post subject: |
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| Camrade wrote: | | He got 9 years which means that the trial is a bit not so strict. The prosecution insisted on 10 years. |
LOL. Camrade, stop smoking so much pot!  |
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Camrade VIP
Joined: 06 Dec 2004 Posts: 516 Location: Санкт-Петербург
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Posted: Fri Jun 03, 2005 8:06 pm Post subject: |
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2Mogsfan
what? i didn't get you, man |
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e VIP
Joined: 23 Apr 2005 Posts: 654
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Posted: Fri Jun 03, 2005 10:41 pm Post subject: |
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| Camrade, Mogs means that you are full of it if you know what I mean. |
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Mogsfan WayToRussified
Joined: 03 Nov 2004 Posts: 490
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Posted: Sat Jun 04, 2005 12:59 am Post subject: |
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| Camrade wrote: | 2Mogsfan
what? i didn't get you, man |
Camrade, I don't see how you think 9 years means the sentence was "less strict." It's still NINE years, man! I'm sure he's going to have a party in his cell now as it's only nine, not ten! Know what I mean, yet?
Or does he get out earlier for good behavior? I am not sure I follow your reasoning about your judgement on the trial. ???
I know what Vic thinks. He says, basically, lock 'im up and throwaway the key.
Honestly, I don't have a firm opinion. I'm not sure what to think. I would want more sources. However, I can give you one part of my opinion: I think it was politicially motivated. There's been how many oligarchs in Russia? And this guy is the only name that pops up as charged?!? I suppose there are some lesser known names charged? But, all of a sudden, Yukos is in the thick of things and he's charged? I read that it was only because he was financing political opposition or "political threats" to Putin, that all that happened. Anyway, it just sounds really suspicious and peculiar. From what I know about politicians (especially, considering where it is), I would not be surprised if there is not a helluva lot of accuracy to that critique. |
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Mogsfan WayToRussified
Joined: 03 Nov 2004 Posts: 490
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Posted: Sat Jun 04, 2005 1:24 am Post subject: |
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Camrade, what do you think of my suggestions and comments below?:
I agree with your #2, the first part, but not the 2nd or last part. I agree, Bush "keeps a close eye on everything" but I'm not so sure it is 'to make Russia politically weaker." As you know, Condolezza Rice made a statement about the United States' perceptions of Russia's prospects of democracy or their prognosis of Russian's current development of democracy. However you wish to say it, the U.S. has an idea of how Russia is, democratically speaking. All of us, may have differing or very similar opinions of what we think of that - i.e. we think the U.S. is not being very democratic themselves (based on various actions of theirs). But, I think the U.S. regards Russia's decision and action in the case to be a predictor of future international relations and overall behavior.
For e.g., it could be a predictor or used to anticipate relations with other countries and the U.S. Russia has sold a lot of weapons to other countries despite the Americans' objections. If the Americans are unhappy with Russia's decisions and actions on the case, the Americans may have grave concerns regarding future relations and have reason to keep a special eye on further behaviors etc. It's not necessarily a wish or desire to watch in order to make "Russia weaker."
What do you think of my analysis?
Anyway, I previously commented one analysis from the media (in this thread). It's about Putin selecting "certain criminals" based on their perceived threat to his regime and collaborative Russian politicians. The idea is that Putin does have an authoritative regime and that he does things based on perceived response. He may say something to elicit a positive response but in action, doesn't fully implement it or even in reality, intend to. In addition, he and his political cronies don't even believe in whatever policy we are talking about. There is no shortage of politicians who do this.
| Camrade wrote: | 2vorteks
1 - no, he deserved 5 years - maximum...
2 - Bush administration "keeps close eye" on everything which can help them to influence on Russia... Khodorkovshy's trial is a great chance to involve into Russia's politics and to make Russia politically weaker.
3 - if there were bolshevik times, Khodorkovsky would have already been dead So this trial is just a half-political process which was intended to stop "oligarch revolution". Gossips about such revolution were in Russia before the prosecution of Yukos. But it's just my opinion (and not only mine ), maybe the reason is different...
4 - there's a special treatment for wealthy prisoners, as far as I know... It's obvious that Khodorkovsky is in a special room with TV, refregerator and so on.
| Quote: | | but here medias report this as an evidence of Putins dictatorship. |
medias are not right in that case. There's no dictatorship. Modern russian political regime is an authoritarian with elements of european type democracy... |
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